It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the MongoDB, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDB) share price down 13% in the last month. But over the last three years the stock has shone bright like a diamond. The longer term view reveals that the share price is up 582% in that period. As long term investors the recent fall doesn’t detract all that much from the longer term story. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price. Anyone who held for that rewarding ride would probably be keen to talk about it.
So let’s assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 3 years and see if they’ve moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
Because MongoDB made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That’s because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
MongoDB’s revenue trended up 36% each year over three years. That’s much better than most loss-making companies. In light of this attractive revenue growth, it seems somewhat appropriate that the share price has been rocketing, boasting a gain of 90% per year, over the same period. Despite the strong run, top performers like MongoDB have been known to go on winning for decades. In fact, it might be time to put it on your watchlist, if you’re not already familiar with the stock.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
MongoDB is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think MongoDB will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)
A Different Perspective
Pleasingly, MongoDB’s total shareholder return last year was 32%. But the three year TSR of 90% per year is even better. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example – MongoDB has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Of course MongoDB may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.